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Draft:Security Futures Lab

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The Security Futures Lab (linked to the Oxford Martin Programme on Security Futures) is a geopolitcally independent research and policy platform with its hub at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, established by Achim Steiner, former Administrator of the United Nations Development Programme and former Executive Director of the United Nations Environment Programme.[1]

The Lab was founded on the premise that security is too often conceived in conventional military terms, and that climate change, pandemics, artificial intelligence, and digital disruption are now among the primary drivers of instability.[2] According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, global military expenditure reached $2.718 trillion in 2024, the highest figure ever recorded and a 9.4 per cent increase on the previous year.[3] The Lab's website argues that this level of investment has not translated into equivalent security, pointing to data showing that climate-related disasters triggered 32.6 million internal displacements in 2022, exceeding the number caused by conflict in the same period,[4] while the COVID-19 pandemic killed over 7 million people[5] and cost the global economy an estimated $12.5 trillion according to International Monetary Fund projections.[6] The Lab contends that such risks do not occur in isolation but interact and cascade across connected systems, and that insecurity is increasingly shaped by digital environments in which, in its framing, "platforms and algorithms reward outrage and division" before facts can be established.[2]

The programme is designed to shift how security is understood and debated, helping policymakers think about systemic risks in more integrated ways and making the case that climate, health, and digital risks belong at the centre of security thinking. The lab's website claims a commitment to building knowledge differently, drawing on expertise from across the world and co-producing analysis with a global network of partners on five continents rather than projecting analysis outward from a single institutional or geopolitical perspective.[2]

References

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  1. ^ "The Oxford Martin Programme on Security Futures". Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford. Retrieved 17 June 2026.
  2. ^ a b c "The Oxford Martin Programme on Security Futures". Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford. Retrieved 17 June 2026.
  3. ^ Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (April 2025). Trends in World Military Expenditure, 2024 (Report). SIPRI. Retrieved 17 June 2026.
  4. ^ Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre (2023). Global Report on Internal Displacement 2023 (Report). IDMC. Retrieved 17 June 2026.
  5. ^ "COVID-19 deaths". World Health Organization. Retrieved 17 June 2026.
  6. ^ World Bank Independent Evaluation Group. "World Bank Group's Early Support to Addressing COVID-19: Background and Context". World Bank. Retrieved 17 June 2026.
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Category:Security studies Category:Global governance