2007 Seville municipal election
27 May 2007
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All 33 seats in the City Council of Seville 17 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 565,792 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 308,999 (54.6%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A municipal election was held in Seville on 27 May 2007 to elect the 8th City Council of the municipality. All 33 seats in the City Council were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in thirteen autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain.
Overview
[edit]Under the 1978 Constitution, the governance of municipalities in Spain—part of the country's local government system—was centered on the figure of city councils (Spanish: ayuntamientos), local corporations with independent legal personality composed of a mayor, a government council and an elected legislative assembly.[1] The mayor was indirectly elected by the local assembly, requiring an absolute majority; otherwise, the candidate from the most-voted party automatically became mayor (ties were resolved by drawing lots).[2] In the case of Seville, the top-tier administrative and governing body was the City Council of Seville.[3]
Date
[edit]The term of local assemblies in Spain expired four years after the date of their previous election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official State Gazette (BOE).[4] The previous local elections were held on 25 May 2003, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 27 May 2007.
Local assemblies could not be dissolved before the expiration of their term, except in cases of mismanagement that seriously harmed the public interest and implied a breach of constitutional obligations, in which case the Council of Ministers could—optionally—decide to call a by-election.[5]
Elections to the assemblies of local entities were officially called on 3 April 2007 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOE, setting election day for 27 May.[6]
Electoral system
[edit]Voting for local assemblies was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered and residing in the municipality and with full political rights (provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence, nor were legally incapacitated), as well as resident non-national European citizens, and those whose country of origin allowed reciprocal voting by virtue of a treaty.[7]
Local councillors were elected using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a five percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each municipality.[8] Each municipality was a multi-member constituency, with a number of seats based on the following scale:[9]
| Population | Councillors |
|---|---|
| <250 | 5 |
| 251–1,000 | 7 |
| 1,001–2,000 | 9 |
| 2,001–5,000 | 11 |
| 5,001–10,000 | 13 |
| 10,001–20,000 | 17 |
| 20,001–50,000 | 21 |
| 50,001–100,000 | 25 |
| >100,001 | +1 per each 100,000 inhabitants or fraction +1 if total is an even number |
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes.[10]
Parties and candidates
[edit]The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in the municipality for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list. In the case of Seville, as its population was between 300,001 and 1,000,000, at least 5,000 signatures were required.[11] Amendments earlier in 2007 required a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition.[12]
Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances |
Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vote % | Seats | ||||||||
| PSOE–A | List |
Alfredo Sánchez Monteseirín | Social democracy | 38.6% | 14 | [13] | |||
| PP | List
|
Juan Ignacio Zoido | Conservatism Christian democracy |
35.2% | 12 | [14] | |||
| PA | List
|
Agustín Villar | Andalusian nationalism Social democracy |
12.3% | 4 | [15] | |||
| IULV–CA | List |
Antonio Rodrigo | Socialism Communism |
9.0% | 3 | [16] [17] | |||
Opinion polls
[edit]The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Voting intention estimates
[edit]The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 17 seats were required for an absolute majority in the City Council of Seville.
- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | IULV | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 municipal election | 27 May 2007 | N/a | 54.6 | 40.5 15 |
41.8 15 |
4.5 0 |
8.4 3 |
1.3 |
| Ipsos/RTVE–FORTA[p 1] | 27 May 2007 | ? | ? | ? 15/17 |
? 14/16 |
? 0/1 |
? 2/3 |
? |
| Opina/El País[p 2][p 3] | 14 May 2007 | 600 | ? | 45.0 16/17 |
37.0 13 |
5.0 0/1 |
9.5 3 |
8.0 |
| Estio/El Correo[p 4] | 8–12 May 2007 | 1,300 | ? | 42.1 15 |
40.7 14/15 |
5.5 1/2 |
7.0 2 |
1.4 |
| Ipsos/Grupo Joly[p 4] | 30 Apr–11 May 2007 | 800 | ? | 38.5 13/14 |
38.1 13/14 |
9.0 3 |
8.5 3 |
0.4 |
| Metroscopia/ABC[p 5] | 9–10 May 2007 | 800 | 60.0 | 42.5 14/15 |
41.7 14/15 |
5.0 0/1 |
8.8 2/3 |
0.8 |
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 6][p 7][p 8] | 9 May 2007 | 800 | ? | 42.9 15/16 |
41.6 15 |
5.0 0/1 |
8.0 3 |
1.3 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 9][p 10] | 2–9 May 2007 | 400 | ? | 42.5 14/16 |
41.5 14/15 |
5.2 0/2 |
7.1 2 |
1.0 |
| CIS[p 11] | 9–29 Apr 2007 | 1,000 | ? | 42.8 15 |
36.9 12/13 |
8.6 3 |
8.3 2/3 |
5.9 |
| Insomer/PA[p 12] | 15–18 Apr 2007 | 1,100 | ? | 37.1 13 |
38.6 13/14 |
13.7 4 |
7.8 2 |
1.5 |
| Ipsos/Grupo Joly[p 13] | 1 Mar 2007 | ? | ? | 39.7 14/15 |
35.0 12/13 |
10.4 3 |
9.6 3 |
4.7 |
| CANP/El Correo[p 14] | 5–14 Feb 2007 | 1,100 | ? | 38.6 14 |
38.7 14 |
8.1 2 |
8.6 3 |
0.1 |
| Sociatae Estudios/PP[p 15] | 27 Nov–15 Dec 2006 | 1,500 | ? | 34.7 12/13 |
39.8 14/15 |
10.7 3 |
10.2 3 |
5.1 |
| Insomer/PA[p 16][p 17] | 16–24 Nov 2006 | 1,100 | ? | 35.1 12 |
41.5 14 |
12.4 4 |
8.9 3 |
6.4 |
| Ipsos/Grupo Joly[p 18] | 16 Apr 2006 | ? | ? | 38.0 14 |
36.7 13/14 |
10.0 3 |
9.0 3 |
1.3 |
| El Correo[p 19] | 3 Apr 2006 | ? | ? | 38.6 14/15 |
35.0 13/14 |
12.3 3 |
9.0 2 |
3.6 |
| Sigma Dos/PP[p 20] | 9–10 May 2005 | 600 | ? | 39.2 13/14 |
39.0 13/14 |
8.6 3 |
9.2 3 |
0.2 |
| 2004 EP election | 13 Jun 2004 | N/a | 42.0 | 50.4 (18) |
39.8 (15) |
3.2 (0) |
4.7 (0) |
10.6 |
| 2004 regional election | 14 Mar 2004 | N/a | 76.3 | 48.8 (17) |
33.1 (12) |
5.8 (2) |
7.3 (2) |
15.7 |
| 2004 general election | 14 Mar 2004 | N/a | 76.3 | 52.4 (19) |
34.5 (12) |
3.8 (0) |
5.6 (2) |
17.9 |
| 2003 municipal election | 25 May 2003 | N/a | 58.6 | 38.6 14 |
35.2 12 |
12.3 4 |
9.0 3 |
3.4 |
Voting preferences
[edit]The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | IULV | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 municipal election | 27 May 2007 | N/a | 22.0 | 22.8 | 2.4 | 4.6 | N/a | 45.4 | 0.8 |
| CIS[p 11] | 9–29 Apr 2007 | 1,000 | 37.5 | 16.8 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 24.3 | 10.9 | 20.7 |
| CANP/El Correo[p 14] | 5–14 Feb 2007 | 1,100 | 32.8 | 22.8 | 2.5 | 3.8 | – | – | 10.0 |
| 2004 EP election[a] | 13 Jun 2004 | N/a | 21.1 | 16.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | N/a | 58.0 | 4.4 |
| 2004 regional election[a] | 14 Mar 2004 | N/a | 37.1 | 25.1 | 4.4 | 5.6 | N/a | 23.7 | 12.0 |
| 2004 general election[a] | 14 Mar 2004 | N/a | 39.8 | 26.2 | 2.9 | 4.3 | N/a | 23.7 | 13.6 |
| 2003 municipal election | 25 May 2003 | N/a | 22.5 | 20.5 | 7.2 | 5.2 | N/a | 41.4 | 2.0 |
Victory preferences
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a municipal election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | IULV | Other/ None |
Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS[p 11] | 9–29 Apr 2007 | 1,000 | 43.0 | 20.4 | 3.6 | 5.3 | 8.2 | 19.5 | 22.6 |
Victory likelihood
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a municipal election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | IULV | Other/ None |
Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS[p 11] | 9–29 Apr 2007 | 1,000 | 61.7 | 7.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 29.4 | 54.3 |
Preferred Mayor
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become mayor of Seville.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monteseirín PSOE–A |
Zoido PP |
Villar PA |
Rodrigo IULV | ||||||
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 8] | 9 May 2007 | 800 | 36.0 | 26.0 | – | – | 38.0 | 10.0 | |
| CIS[p 11] | 9–29 Apr 2007 | 1,000 | 34.3 | 15.8 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 40.1 | 18.5 |
Predicted Mayor
[edit]The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become mayor.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monteseirín PSOE–A |
Zoido PP | ||||||
| Opina/Cadena SER[p 8] | 9 May 2007 | 800 | 67.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 57.0 | |
Results
[edit]| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| People's Party (PP) | 128,776 | 41.84 | +6.64 | 15 | +3 | |
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) | 124,534 | 40.46 | +1.86 | 15 | +1 | |
| United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) | 25,772 | 8.37 | −0.60 | 3 | ±0 | |
| Andalusian Party (PA) | 13,839 | 4.50 | −7.82 | 0 | −4 | |
| The Greens 2007 (LV2007) | 3,207 | 1.04 | −0.30 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Socialist Party of Andalusia (PSA) | 2,179 | 0.71 | +0.17 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 724 | 0.24 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Republican Left (IR) | 593 | 0.19 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn) | 525 | 0.17 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 523 | 0.17 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Group of Independent Citizens (GCI) | 519 | 0.17 | −0.14 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE de las JONS)1 | 280 | 0.09 | ±0.00 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Humanist Party (PH) | 221 | 0.07 | −0.02 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 6,110 | 1.99 | −0.48 | |||
| Total | 307,802 | 33 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 307,802 | 99.61 | +0.05 | |||
| Invalid votes | 1,197 | 0.39 | −0.05 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 308,999 | 54.61 | −3.94 | |||
| Abstentions | 256,793 | 45.39 | +3.94 | |||
| Registered voters | 565,792 | |||||
| Sources[18][19][20] | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
Aftermath
[edit]Government formation
[edit]| Investiture | |||
| Ballot → | 16 June 2007 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 17 out of 33 | ||
18 / 33
|
|||
|
15 / 33
|
||
| Abstentions/Blank ballots | 0 / 33
| ||
| Absentees | 0 / 33
| ||
| Sources[21] | |||
Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c Does not include non-resident citizens.
References
[edit]Opinion poll sources
- ^ "La encuesta de Ipsos no pronostica cambios en las principales capitales andaluzas". 20 Minutos (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
- ^ "El PP se crece en Madrid y Valencia y el PSOE amarra Barcelona y Sevilla". El País (in Spanish). 21 May 2007.
- ^ "Los socialistas acarician la mayoría absoluta en Sevilla". El País (in Spanish). 21 May 2007.
- ^ a b "Tres encuestas dan un empate técnico al PSOE y PP en Ayuntamiento de Sevilla". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 21 May 2007.
- ^ "El PP recorta distancias y logra en estos momentos un empate técnico con el PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
- ^ "Los socialistas revalidarán su gobierno en Sevilla". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 13 May 2007.
- ^ "Informe Sevilla. Mayo 2007". Opina (in Spanish). 13 May 2007. Archived from the original on 2007-05-16.
- ^ a b c "El PA podría dejar el Ayuntamiento de Sevilla, según el sondeo de la SER". El País (in Spanish). 14 May 2007.
- ^ "Una encuesta de 'El Mundo' da más concejales a PSOE y PP, con reedición de mandato por parte socialista". Europa Press (in Spanish). 14 May 2007.
- ^ "Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
- ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral elecciones municipales 2007. Sevilla (Estudio nº 2686. Abril 2007)". CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
- ^ "El PSOE baja, el PP sube y empatan en intención de voto". ABC (in Spanish). 22 April 2007.
- ^ Pedrote, Isabel (1 March 2007). "Los partidos reciben con satisfacción y distancia la foto fija de las encuestas". El País (in Spanish).
- ^ a b "Una encuesta sitúa en empate técnico los resultados de las municipales en Sevilla". El País (in Spanish). 5 March 2007.
- ^ "Una encuesta da al PP el triunfo en las municipales por cinco puntos". ABC (in Spanish). 9 January 2007.
- ^ "Una encuesta del PA da la mayoría a un gobierno del PP con los andalucistas". ABC (in Spanish). 12 December 2006.
- ^ Pedrote, Isabel (12 December 2006). "Un sondeo del PA da la victoria al PP en Sevilla y atribuye 4 ediles a su candidato". El País (in Spanish).
- ^ "Una encuesta de Joly prevé que PSOE e IU volverán a gobernar al sumar 17 ediles en las municipales de 2007". Europa Press (in Spanish). 16 April 2006.
- ^ "El PSOE y el PP se levantan la moral". ABC (in Spanish). 3 April 2006.
- ^ "El PP aumenta hasta dos concejales y el PSOE se mantiene, según un sondeo". ABC (in Spanish). 15 May 2005.
Other
- ^ Constitution (1978), art. 140; LBRL (1985), art. 19.
- ^ LBRL (1985), art. 19; LOREG (1985), art. 196.
- ^ LBRL (1985), arts. 121–132.
- ^ LOREG (1985), arts. 42 & 194.
- ^ LBRL (1985), art. 61.
- ^ Royal Decree 444/2007 (2007), art. 1.
- ^ Constitution (1978), art. 13; LBRL (1985), art. 19; LOREG (1985), arts. 2–3 & 176.
- ^ LOREG (1985), arts. 163 & 180.
- ^ LOREG (1985), art. 179.
- ^ LOREG (1985), arts. 46, 48 & 182.
- ^ LOREG (1985), arts. 44 & 187.
- ^ LOREG (1985), art. 44 bis.
- ^ "El PSOE ratifica hoy a Monteseirín como candidato a la alcaldía de Sevilla". El País (in Spanish). Seville. 18 September 2006. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
- ^ "El PP designará hoy a Juan Ignacio Zoido candidato a la Alcaldía de Sevilla". ABC (in Spanish). 28 June 2006. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
- ^ Carmona, María José (9 June 2006). "Agustín Villar es desde ayer el candidato oficial del PA a la Alcaldía de Sevilla". ABC (in Spanish). Seville. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
- ^ "Sevilla.- Valderas advierte de que la propuesta de Torrijos como candidato a la Alcaldía es sólo "la primera opinión"" (in Spanish). El Coronil: Europa Press. 28 May 2006. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
- ^ "El Consejo Andaluz de IU aprueba con el 71% de los votos las candidaturas para ciudades de más de 50.000 habitantes" (in Spanish). Seville: Europa Press. 30 September 2006. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
- ^ Lozano, Carles. "Elecciones municipales en Sevilla (desde 1979)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 November 2025.
- ^ "Elecciones celebradas. Resultados electorales" (in Spanish). Ministry of the Interior. Retrieved 5 November 2025.
- ^ "Acuerdo de 6 de julio de 2007, de la Junta Electoral Central, por el que se procede a la publicación del resumen de los resultados de las elecciones locales convocadas por Real Decreto 444/2007, de 2 de abril, y celebradas el 27 de mayo de 2007, según los datos que figuran en las actas de proclamación remitidas por cada una de las Juntas Electorales de Zona" (PDF). Official State Gazette (in Spanish) (162 (Supplement)): 1–623. 7 July 2007. ISSN 0212-033X. Retrieved 6 November 2025.
- ^ Lucio, Lourdes (17 June 2007). "Tercer mandato de Monteseirín en Sevilla". El País (in Spanish). Seville. Retrieved 12 November 2025.
Bibliography
[edit]- Constitución Española (Constitution). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 27 December 1978 [version as of 28 August 1992]. BOE-A-1978-31229. Retrieved 27 December 2016.
- Ley 7/1985, de 2 de abril, Reguladora de las Bases del Régimen Local (Law 7/1985). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 2 April 1985 [version as of 13 April 2007]. BOE-A-1985-5392. Retrieved 4 November 2025.
- Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5/1985). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 19 June 1985 [version as of 20 April 2007]. BOE-A-1985-11672. Retrieved 4 November 2025.
- Real Decreto 444/2007, de 2 de abril, por el que se convocan elecciones locales y a las Asambleas de Ceuta y Melilla, para el 27 de mayo de 2007 (Royal Decree 444/2007). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 2 April 2007. BOE-A-2007-7018. Retrieved 10 November 2025.

