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Unskewing the Polls

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WSJ/Impact National Research Poll (GCB and Trump Approval, RV and All Adults)

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WSJ/Impact National Research Poll (GCB and Trump Approval, RV and All Adults)

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Fetterman is at 81% Disapproval among PA Dems

Fetterman is at 81% Disapproval among PA Dems

https://bravogroup.us/morning-scrapple/

r/fivethirtyeight - Fetterman is at 81% Disapproval among PA Dems

Kamala Harris and JD Vance lead in 2028 poll

Kamala Harris and JD Vance lead in 2028 poll

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2026/06/26/kamala-harris-jd-vance-2028-primary-poll/90715425007/

r/fivethirtyeight - Kamala Harris and JD Vance lead in 2028 poll

Unskewing the Polls

Created Jul 15, 2010

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r/fivethirtyeight Rules

1

Follow Reddiquette and Reddit’s content policy.

Always adhere to Reddiquette and the Reddit content policy.

2

Be kind.

Maintain civility at all times. Disagree on the facts. Do not disparage others for their beliefs when they are here in good faith to talk about the data.

3

No spam.

Refrain from posting extremely low-quality or malicious content. All posts should be organized, productive to the community, and have a modicum of work put into them. Spam includes commercial products and services, links to suspicious sites, low-effort or repetitive memes, incomprehensible rants, excessive self-promotion, etc.

4

Stick to the topic.

Posts should revolve around data analysis and closely related topics. General political, sports, or science content may be considered by the moderators, but should be as closely linked to Nate Silver/538 and the wider world of data analysis as possible. Do not post the latest political "news" unless it is clearly relevant to polling, electoral forecasting, and similar data-based topics.

5

Cite your sources.

An evidence-based community requires that posters cite their sources when presenting supposed facts. Posts can take many forms and do not need to solely consist of simple links, but a reference should be included somewhere in the post or the comments.

6

No single-issue agendas.

Single-issue posters or commenters will be looked at skeptically and likely removed. Consistent and repetitive criticism or cheerleading of certain candidates/issues/sports teams is not conducive to the objective, data-based spirit of this subreddit. If you are here simply to "bloom" or "doom" about a given topic regardless of the facts, please go elsewhere.

7

No trolling.

Moderators are on heightened alert for obvious bad-faith rage-baiting and fake news or propaganda. Please help us by reporting and downvoting posters who are clearly here to sow discord and irritate others rather than engage in productive conversation.

8

Single-poll posts must be from the top 25 pollsters during election season.

Single-poll news stories are permitted. During election season, polls must be among the top 25 ranked by the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings. Any polls that are not in the top 25 must be submitted as top-level comments in the Weekly Polling Megathread. When no major elections are close at hand, this rule is relaxed and any poll may be posted separately so long as it is not of egregiously low quality.

9

No reposts.

Please refrain from reposting old content. Case-by-case exceptions could be made for highly relevant reposts, such as a prediction that later comes to pass (or does not). The sub should generally consist of new content, especially with news stories and polls.

10

Post in the relevant megathread.

Please reserve top-level comments in the polling megathread for actual polls and closely related topics. The election megathread is the proper place for broad commentary about polling or the general state of a race.

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