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2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota

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Not to be confused with 2024 North Dakota Senate election.

2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota
← 2018
November 5, 2024
2030 →
 
Nominee Kevin Cramer Katrina Christiansen
Party Republican Democratic–NPL
Popular vote 241,569 121,602
Percentage 66.31% 33.38%
Cramer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Christiansen:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Tie:      50%      No votes
U.S. senator before election

Kevin Cramer
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Kevin Cramer
Republican

The 2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of North Dakota. Republican incumbent Kevin Cramer was re-elected to a second term in office, defeating Democratic–NPL educator Katrina Christiansen in the general election with more than 66% of the vote. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024, with Cramer and Christiansen winning their respective party's nomination unopposed.[1]

This marked the first time since 1958 that a Republican incumbent won re-election in this class 1 seat. Cramer more than tripled his margin from 2018 and won 10 counties he lost in 2018.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Kevin Cramer

Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kevin Cramer (R) $5,423,493 $2,328,177 $3,290,838
Source: Federal Election Commission[8]

Results

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Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kevin Cramer (incumbent) 82,692 100.00%
Total votes 82,692 100.00%

Democratic-NPL primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Katrina Christiansen
Statewide officials

Organizations

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Katrina Christiansen (D-NPL) $1,154,175 $957,217 $200,218
Source: Federal Election Commission[8]

Results

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Democratic–NPL primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic–NPL Katrina Christiansen 19,690 100.00%
Total votes 19,690 100.00%

Independents

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Filed paperwork

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[16] Solid R November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[17] Solid R November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Safe R November 9, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[19] Safe R June 8, 2024
Elections Daily[20] Safe R May 4, 2023
CNalysis[21] Solid R November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[22] Solid R August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[23] Safe R October 23, 2024
538[24] Solid R October 23, 2024


Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kevin
Cramer (R) 		Katrina
Christiansen (D) 		Other Undecided
WPA Intelligence[25][A] September 28–30, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 29% – 20%
Lake Research Partners (D)[26][B] September 23–26, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 40% 2%[b] 9%
WPA Intelligence (R)[27][C] September 22–24, 2024 521 (LV) ± 4.4% 60% 31% – 9%
Lake Research Partners (D)[28][B] June 28 – August 2, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 38% – 11%
Public Opinion Strategies[29][D] June 15–19, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 65% 28% – 6%
Emerson College[30] October 1–4, 2023 419 (RV) ± 4.8% 45% 19% 9% 28%

Results

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2024 United States Senate election in North Dakota[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Kevin Cramer (incumbent) 241,569 66.31% +11.20%
Democratic–NPL Katrina Christiansen 121,602 33.38% −10.89%
Write-in 1,156 0.32% -0.31%
Total votes 364,327 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

By county

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County Kevin Cramer
Republican 		Katrina Christiansen
Democratic–NPL 		All others Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # %
Adams 933 77.9% 259 21.6% 5 0.4% 674 56.3% 1,197
Barnes 3,403 64.0% 1,901 35.7% 16 0.3% 1,502 28.3% 5,320
Benson 1,071 55.0% 873 44.8% 3 0.2% 198 10.2% 1,947
Billings 529 81.4% 117 18.0% 4 0.6% 412 63.4% 650
Bottineau 2,511 73.4% 895 26.2% 13 0.4% 1,616 47.2% 3,419
Bowman 1,349 83.5% 263 16.3% 3 0.2% 1,086 67.2% 1,615
Burke 868 82.6% 175 16.7% 8 0.8% 693 65.9% 1,051
Burleigh 35,755 69.1% 15,714 30.4% 240 0.5% 20,041 38.7% 51,709
Cass 48,637 53.9% 41,321 45.8% 199 0.2% 7,316 8.1% 90,157
Cavalier 1,421 71.4% 562 28.3% 6 0.3% 859 43.1% 1,989
Dickey 1,722 70.9% 706 29.1% 2 0.1% 1,016 41.8% 2,430
Divide 887 73.9% 309 25.8% 4 0.3% 578 48.1% 1,200
Dunn 1,805 81.7% 395 17.9% 8 0.4% 1,410 63.8% 2,208
Eddy 832 68.4% 380 31.2% 4 0.3% 452 37.2% 1,216
Emmons 1,534 80.7% 355 18.7% 12 0.6% 1,179 62.0% 1,901
Foster 1,279 75.7% 408 24.1% 3 0.2% 871 51.6% 1,690
Golden Valley 822 83.9% 156 15.9% 2 0.2% 666 68.0% 980
Grand Forks 18,509 59.7% 12,418 40.1% 71 0.2% 6,091 19.6% 30,998
Grant 1,035 79.3% 267 20.5% 3 0.2% 768 58.8% 1,305
Griggs 936 72.7% 347 27.0% 4 0.3% 589 45.7% 1,287
Hettinger 1,057 82.3% 225 17.5% 2 0.2% 832 64.8% 1,284
Kidder 1,056 76.9% 316 23.0% 2 0.1% 740 56.9% 1,374
LaMoure 1,536 72.4% 581 27.4% 6 0.3% 955 45.0% 2,123
Logan 833 81.3% 185 18.1% 6 0.6% 648 63.2% 1,024
McHenry 2,068 75.8% 649 23.8% 10 0.4% 1,419 52.0% 2,727
McIntosh 1,060 76.3% 324 23.3% 6 0.4% 736 53.0% 1,390
McKenzie 4,523 83.1% 900 16.5% 22 0.4% 3,623 65.6% 5,445
McLean 3,981 74.1% 1,370 25.5% 21 0.4% 2,611 48.6% 5,372
Mercer 3,414 76.6% 1,010 22.7% 31 0.7% 2,404 53.9% 4,455
Morton 12,263 73.1% 4,431 26.4% 75 0.4% 7,832 46.7% 16,769
Mountrail 2,824 69.9% 1,208 29.9% 10 0.2% 1,616 40.0% 4,042
Nelson 1,091 62.3% 657 37.5% 3 0.2% 434 24.8% 1,751
Oliver 846 79.1% 217 20.3% 6 0.6% 629 58.8% 1,069
Pembina 2,264 72.9% 840 27.0% 3 0.1% 1,424 45.9% 3,107
Pierce 1,445 73.4% 515 26.2% 8 0.4% 930 47.2% 1,968
Ramsey 3,568 68.4% 1,640 31.4% 7 0.1% 1,928 37.0% 5,215
Ransom 1,596 60.6% 1,033 39.2% 4 0.2% 563 21.4% 2,633
Renville 970 80.5% 234 19.4% 1 0.1% 736 61.1% 1,205
Richland 5,321 64.8% 2,877 35.1% 10 0.1% 2,444 29.7% 8,208
Rolette 1,486 36.9% 2,534 63.0% 4 0.1% -1,048 -25.9% 4,024
Sargent 1,235 60.7% 797 39.2% 1 0.1% 438 21.5% 2,033
Sheridan 581 77.6% 162 21.6% 6 0.8% 419 56.0% 749
Sioux 281 29.6% 665 70.1% 2 0.2% -284 -40.5% 948
Slope 335 86.1% 52 13.4% 2 0.5% 283 72.7% 389
Stark 12,074 81.3% 2,716 18.3% 53 0.4% 9,358 63.0% 14,843
Steele 585 57.9% 422 41.7% 4 0.4% 163 16.2% 1,011
Stutsman 6,771 68.0% 3,171 31.8% 16 0.2% 3,600 36.2% 9,958
Towner 757 68.0% 355 31.9% 2 0.2% 402 36.1% 1,114
Traill 2,612 63.5% 1,489 36.2% 13 0.3% 1,123 27.3% 4,114
Walsh 3,124 69.5% 1,355 30.2% 14 0.3% 1,769 39.3% 4,493
Ward 20,328 72.1% 7,772 27.5% 113 0.4% 12,556 44.6% 28,213
Wells 1,690 75.4% 537 24.0% 13 0.6% 1,153 51.4% 2,240
Williams 12,156 82.3% 2,542 17.2% 70 0.5% 9,614 65.1% 14,768
Totals 241,569 66.3% 121,602 33.4% 1,156 0.3% 119,967 32.9% 364,327

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Notes

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  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Other" and "Refused" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by North Dakota News Cooperative
  2. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Christiansen's campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Cramer's campaign
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Brighter Future Alliance

References

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  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ^ Nelson, TJ; Voorhees, Alison; Monk, Jim (October 8, 2023). "ND Republican Sen. Cramer To Run for Another Term in 2024, Dem. Candidate Also Emerges". KVRR. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
  3. ^ Porter, Joel (March 12, 2024). "Senator Cramer responds to Donald Trump endorsement". KX Television. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  4. ^ "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  5. ^ "Clear Path Action Fund". Clear Path Action Fund. Retrieved February 11, 2024.
  6. ^ "IFA Endorses Congressional Candidates Ahead of June Primary Elections | International Franchise Association". www.franchise.org. June 3, 2024. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
  7. ^ "Sen. Kevin Cramer receives NDGOP endorsement". April 6, 2024.
  8. ^ a b "2024 Election United States Senate - North Dakota". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  9. ^ Fulton, Jacob (October 18, 2023). "Christiansen announces second Democratic bid for US Senate". The Bismarck Tribune. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
  10. ^ a b DeVries, Morgan (March 1, 2024). "Former ag commissioners endorse Christiansen for U.S. Senate". KX Television. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  11. ^ "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved November 9, 2023.
  12. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  13. ^ "Katrina Christiansen endorsed for Senate by Dem-NPL". April 6, 2024.
  14. ^ "2024 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
  15. ^ "Statement of candidacy" (PDF). fec.gov. Retrieved April 14, 2023.
  16. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  17. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  18. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  19. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  20. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  21. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  22. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  23. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  24. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  25. ^ WPA Intelligence
  26. ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
  27. ^ WPA Intelligence (R)
  28. ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
  29. ^ Public Opinion Strategies
  30. ^ Emerson College
  31. ^ "Official (without recounts) 2024 General Election Results". Vote.nd.gov. Retrieved November 22, 2024.
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Official campaign websites

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